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India’s restaurant industry shows signs of recovery: Macquarie Equity Research

International restaurant chains are outperforming regional players in India

Ayshwaria Lakshmi by Ayshwaria Lakshmi
January 22, 2025
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Thyme & Whisk Plans to Open Over 50 Outlets Across India

-KH News Desk(cbedit@imaws.org)

The Indian restaurant industry is experiencing a steady recovery, with growth momentum picking up significantly in December, according to a report by Macquarie Equity Research, reported Mathrubhumi. This revival is attributed to rising discretionary spending, shifting demographics, and increased workforce participation by women, creating a favorable environment for the sector.

Key Drivers of Growth

Macquarie identifies several factors fueling this resurgence:

* Rising per capita incomes and a declining dependency ratio are boosting consumer spending.

* Smaller household sizes are leading to increased dining out.

* The industry’s focus on value offerings and cost control has stabilized same-store sales and improved profitability.

International Brands Gaining an Edge

International restaurant chains are outperforming regional players in India, thanks to their broad consumer appeal and cost-efficient operations. These brands have successfully leveraged locations in secondary streets with lower rental costs, enhancing unit economics in high-rent areas like high streets.

“We believe these conditions and the nascent nature of consumer adoption of eating out give international brands a strong edge in the restaurant industry,” the report noted.

Challenges and Opportunities

High rental costs in prime locations and the regional nature of food services have posed challenges for replicating success across cities. However, Macquarie anticipates a favourable policy environment in the upcoming Union Budget.

A potential reduction in personal income tax rates for lower- and middle-income households could increase disposable incomes, accelerating growth in same-store sales.

Long-Term Outlook

Macquarie remains optimistic about the restaurant sector’s trajectory, particularly for international brands. Their ability to expand into less-saturated markets while maintaining operational efficiency positions them for sustained growth. Additionally, these brands have demonstrated resilience in managing input cost pressures and retaining customer loyalty, giving them a competitive advantage.

The report emphasizes that the ability to scale operations without significantly impacting margins will be crucial for all players in the sector.

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